2025 HVAC Prices Are Surging as Refrigerant Shortages Take Hold

Edited: June 9, 2025

You’ve seen the headlines: refrigerant shortages, new EPA rules, and rising HVAC costs. But here’s what most people don’t realize—it’s no longer a “someday” issue. If your AC system is more than 10 years old, this is your summer of decision.

At B. Carlson Heating, Air Conditioning & Plumbing, we’ve prepared for this shift by adopting R-32 early. But even with that head start, inventory is limited—and Albuquerque’s triple-digit season is already beginning. If you’re hoping to squeeze another year out of your old system or get a repair in July, you may be gambling with your comfort.

The supply chain is strained. Prices are climbing. And every week you wait shrinks your options.

Here’s what’s happening, why it matters more than ever this year, and what you can do right now to avoid getting stuck in the heat.

Why HVAC Costs Keep Rising in 2025

You’re not just imagining it—repair and replacement costs are going up fast. And it’s not just inflation. Behind the scenes, a perfect storm of market shifts, policy changes, and production delays is tightening the HVAC industry like never before.

Let’s break down the three biggest reasons prices are rising—and why acting early can save you from serious stress this summer.

Supply Chain Pressures

Steel, aluminum, and copper—the building blocks of HVAC systems—have all seen double-digit price hikes since 2020. And while those headlines have faded from the news, the reality is still playing out behind the scenes. Global shipping costs remain volatile, and many manufacturers are shifting focus toward building full systems, not stocking replacement parts.

What does that mean for you? If your AC fails this summer, there’s a good chance the part you need might be out of stock—or only available at a premium.

That’s why at B. Carlson, we’ve secured inventory ahead of the summer rush and prioritized system replacements that meet the newest standards. But even with careful planning, availability is limited. The sooner you reach out, the more options we can offer.

Refrigerant Regulations Are Driving Up Repair Costs

Here’s what’s changing fast: R-22 is almost completely gone. R-410A (Puron) is now on the chopping block. And the newer, more eco-friendly refrigerants like R-32 and R-454B? They’re already in short supply.

If your system runs on R-410A, you can still get service—but it’s getting harder and more expensive. Replacement parts are being phased out, and repairs could leave you paying more for less life.

We adopted R-32 early to protect our customers and ensure we can continue offering high-efficiency, future-ready systems. But supply is finite, and summer installs are already picking up. Don’t let a refrigerant shortage decide when your AC gets replaced—get ahead of it now.

Summer Delays Are No Longer the Exception—They’re the Pattern

Albuquerque’s heat doesn’t wait. As soon as temps climb into the 90s and 100s, HVAC systems across the city fail—and the calls start pouring in. Last summer, over 40% of homeowners reported waiting more than two weeks for repairs during peak season.

Even with B. Carlson’s 24-hour service, weekend and evening appointments, and a team ready to jump into action, we can only do so much once the calendar fills. The closer we get to peak summer, the harder it becomes to get fast help.

Booking early means you skip the line, lock in your install or repair, and stay cool no matter what the thermometer says.

The Smart Move Isn’t Waiting—It’s Upgrading Before It’s Too Late

With refrigerant changes driving up repair costs and parts getting harder to find, putting off your HVAC upgrade just doesn’t pencil out anymore. But there’s good news: investing now can actually save you money long-term—if you act before prices spike.

Today’s Efficient Systems Pay You Back Every Month

A high-efficiency heat pump or upgraded smart thermostat doesn’t just cool your home better—it slashes your utility bills, often by 30–50%. That kind of savings adds up fast, especially with Albuquerque’s extended cooling season.

And with federal rebates still available, many homeowners can qualify for up to $2,000 back on eligible heat pump installations. The savings are real—but the window to claim them is closing fast.

Pricing Is About to Shift—Lock in What’s Left of Spring Rates

When summer arrives, so do emergency markups. Technicians book out. Inventory shrinks. And those early-season prices? Gone.

Right now, B. Carlson is offering new HVAC systems starting at just $150/month—an offer designed to help smart homeowners act before the rush. But with refrigerant shortages tightening inventory daily, this won’t last long.

If your system’s old, inefficient, or limping through the last few summers, there’s never been a better time to replace.

Tune-Up Now or Wait in Line Later

You don’t have to replace your system to stay ahead of the curve. Our $99 professional tune-up could be the difference between smooth sailing and a mid-July breakdown.

We inspect, clean, and prep your system to handle the season ahead—and catch small issues before they turn into costly repairs. It’s quick peace of mind and one less thing to worry about when the mercury climbs.

Don’t Wait for the Heatwave—Schedule Today

This isn’t the summer to gamble on your aging HVAC system. Whether you’re managing a short-term rental or just want to stay cool at home, the safest, smartest choice is to act before the heat hits.

B. Carlson Heating, Air Conditioning & Plumbing is ready to help you upgrade, replace, or tune up your system with honest advice and expert care. We’ve planned ahead. We have inventory. But it’s moving fast.

Schedule your estimate or seasonal tune-up today—before the shortages catch up and the heatwave begins.